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Re: [802.3_100GNGOPTX] Emerging new reach space



Paul
I notice you used a city block but you did leave out the fact that it was a multifloor scenario.

However as I pointed out I remember this from hssg days which is 5 years ago.  I agree with the call for new data and am not sure what data that has been presented to the IEEE that details the industry 2km need.  How much of that is want and not need is unclear to me.

Also one lesson that we should learn from recent industry debates -forget the reach- what is the desired budget?

John

Sent from my iPhone

On Nov 19, 2011, at 2:16 PM, "Kolesar, Paul" <PKOLESAR@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:

> Scott,
> I agree with the thrust of your assessment.
>
> A minor correction.  I did include the entire link distribution in my analysis.  The only truncated input in my analysis is the patch cord distribution above 70 ft.  The percentage of channels within (or above) any length is the result of convolution of the length distributions of constituent links and cords, which carries the probabilities with it.  For example, if 10% of links lie above 100 m, the probability of two concatenated links being longer than 200 m is 0.10 x 0.10 = 1%.  This is over simplified because it does not include the equipment cords and the patch cord that create full channels.
>
> I note that your cut-off at 400,000 square feet allows for a square footprint that is 632 feet on a side, substantially bigger than a square block which, at one tenth of a mile on a side, is 279,000 square feet.
>
> Paul
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Scott Kipp [mailto:skipp@xxxxxxxxxxx]
> Sent: Saturday, November 19, 2011 11:59 AM
> To: STDS-802-3-100GNGOPTX@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: Re: [802.3_100GNGOPTX] Emerging new reach space
>
> Jeff,
>
> I agree with your point about distributions.
>
> No, it was not arbitrary that I stopped at 400,000 sq ft.  I stopped at 400,000 sq ft because I wanted to cut off the tail of the distribution of the size of the data centers.  I propose that there are only a few % (probably les than 1%) of data centers that are over 400,000 sq ft.  The larger ones are the mega data center or massive data centers (MDC in either case) that Google and others are deploying.
>
> Google is a very interesting case study since they deliver over 6% of all Internet traffic.  I just got a response from Bikash and he says they do have 2 km links and he is getting frustrated with the IEEE second guessing this reality.  What I think we need to do is understand that the MDC market has atypical needs and we do have solutions for this with LR4, 10X10-2km and 10X10-10km.
>
> I suggest that we have a bifurcation in the market where we have what most people do and we have what the MDCs do.  One piece of data on this is in Paul Kolesar's data where he shows over 5% of permanent links between patch panels in 2010 are over 119 meters long (see slide 8 of http://www.ieee802.org/3/100GNGOPTX/public/sept11/kolesar_02_0911_NG100GOPTX.pdf).  Paul did not include these outliers in his analysis that shows only 1% of links are over 256 meters long (cell R31 of the Kolesar Kalculator).  We need to understand what assumptions and limits we're putting on the data since this affects our conclusions.
>
> I will present on this more in Newport Beach.  I have gone to some large data centers, but not MDCs because they won't let people like me in!  We need to make the distinction between the white space (the raised floor where equipment resides) and the building size of the data center.  The white space is a significant subset of the building size.  The white space can be separated by significant distances and this can lead to long permanent links between the white space.
>
> I'm proposing that the nR4 solution would meet the needs of many links that are longer than SR4.  From the Kolesar Kalculator, 19% of links are longer than 100 meters and less than 256 meters (cells R14-R31).  19% of links would need nR4 or LR4 if SR4 only supports 100 meters.
>
> If SR4 matches the 150 meters of SR10 which will be very challenging with 25G lanes, then the nR4 market would shrink to about 8% of links (cells R19 to R31).  Paul told me that the 2:1 mix is the most likely deployment scenario in the industry and corresponds to column R in the spreadsheet. Only 1% of links are longer than 256 meters according to Paul's work.
>
> I hope that helps,
> Scott
>
>
>
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Jeffery Maki [mailto:jmaki@xxxxxxxxxxx]
> Sent: Friday, November 18, 2011 5:05 PM
> To: Scott Kipp; STDS-802-3-100GNGOPTX@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: RE: [802.3_100GNGOPTX] Emerging new reach space
>
> Scott,
>
> Was the choice to end your table at 400,000 sq. ft. arbitrary?
>
> All,
>
> I believe we need to know if the potential square footage may or may not grow larger over the coming years for what is known as a mega datacenter.  How big is a mega datacenter to be?  At some point, 100GBASE-LR4 will be the right choice just based on loss budget.  We need to know the distribution of reaches to understand where to draw the line in selecting a break in the PMD definitions.
>
> Jeff
>
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Scott Kipp [mailto:skipp@xxxxxxxxxxx]
> Sent: Friday, November 18, 2011 1:38 PM
> To: STDS-802-3-100GNGOPTX@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: Re: [802.3_100GNGOPTX] Emerging new reach space
>
> Chris and all,
>
> I have been wanting to discuss the reach objective for 100GBASE-nR4, so thanks for kicking off this discussion.
>
> You referenced the 10X10 MSA white paper that calls out a maximum distance of <500 meters.  You reference the authors of Vijay and Bikash, but I was the co-author that wrote this section of the paper and did the mathematical analysis which they agreed to. The actual distance of 414 meters is a simple calculation based on a 400,000 sq ft data center.  Even if the data center is 550,000 sq ft, the link distance is less than 500 meters long.  So I propose that 500 meters is long enough for the largest data centers that we should target.
>
> The problem with a 500 meter distance is in the way that the IEEE defines the maximum link length.  The IEEE defines the reach objective for SM fibers and gives an insertion loss based on the 2.0dB of connector and splice loss and the fiber attenuation loss.  Specifically, 802.3ba states this below table 87.9:
>
> The channel insertion loss is calculated using the maximum distance specified in Table 87–6 and cabled optical fiber
> attenuation of 0.47 dB/km at 1264.5 nm plus an allocation for connection and splice loss given in 87.11.2.1.
>
> For the 10km link of 100GBASE-LR4, the attenuation is 6.7dB = 10km * 0.47dB/km + 2.0dB of connector and splice loss.
>
> If this project follows this example for a 500 meter nR4 link, then the insertion loss would only be 2.2dB = 0.5km * 0.47dB/km + 2.0dB for connector and splice loss. Many attendees know that this could limit the applicability of the nR4 link because it won't support structured cabling environments.  With many MPO ribbon connectors in a link, it could be difficult to support a typical link in the structured cabling environments that will be required in large data centers.
>
> To make nR4 a success, we need to take these structured cabling environments into account and increase the connector loss.  I would like to hear from some cabling vendors and especially end users as to range of insertion losses that they have seen and what they expect to see if ribbon fibers are used instead of the usual duplex SM fibers.
>
> Jonathan King did a great statistical analysis of 4 duplex MM connection loss in king_01_0508.  We should do a similar analysis for 6 SM ribbon connectors to determine the loss of a long link.
>
> If we determine the loss to be 3.5dB, then the insertion loss for the nR4 link could be 3.7dB = 0.5km * 0.47dB/km + 3.5dB for connector and splice loss.  With these parallel solutions, this loss might even be larger since they don't have the WDM losses in the link.
>
> That's my 42 cents,
> Scott
>
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Chris Cole [mailto:chris.cole@xxxxxxxxxxx]
> Sent: Friday, November 18, 2011 11:12 AM
> To: STDS-802-3-100GNGOPTX@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: Re: [802.3_100GNGOPTX] Emerging new reach space
>
> Jack,
>
> Thank you for continuing to lead the discussion. I am hoping it encourages others to jump in with their perspectives, otherwise you will be stuck architecting the new standard by yourself with the rest of us sitting back and observing.
>
> Your email is also a good prompt to start discussing the specific reach objective for 100GE-nR4. Since you mention 2000m reach multiple times in your email, can you give a single example of a 2000m Ethernet IDC link?
>
> I am aware of many 150m to 600m links, with 800m mentioned as long term future proofing, so rounding up to 1000m is already conservative. I understand why several IDC operators have asked for 2km; it was the next closest existing standard reach above their 500m/600m need; see for example page 10 of Donn Lee's March 2007 presentation to the HSSG (http://www.ieee802.org/3/hssg/public/mar07/lee_01_0307.pdf). It is very clear what the need is, and why 2km is being brought up.
>
> Another example of IDC needs is in a 10x10G MSA white paper (http://www.10x10msa.org/documents/10X10%20White%20Paper%20final.pdf), where Bikash Koley and Vijay Vusirikala of Google show that their largest data center requirements are met by a <500m reach interface.
>
> In investigating the technology for 100GE-nR4, we may find as Pete Anslow has pointed out in NG 100G SG, that the incremental cost for going from 1000m to 2000m is negligible. We may then chose to increase the standardized reach. However to conclude today that this is in fact where the technology will end up is premature. We should state the reach objective to reflect the need, not our speculation about the capabilities of yet to be defined technology.
>
> Thank you
>
> Chris
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Jack Jewell [mailto:jack@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx]
> Sent: Friday, November 18, 2011 9:38 AM
> To: STDS-802-3-100GNGOPTX@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: Re: [802.3_100GNGOPTX] Emerging new reach space
>
> Hello All,
> Thanks for all the contributions to this discussion. Here's a synopsis and
> my current take on where it's heading (all in the context of 150-2000m
> links).
> Starting Point: Need for significantly-lower cost/power links over
> 150-2000m reaches has been expressed for several years. Last week in
> Atlanta, four technical presentations on the subject all dealt with
> parallel SMF media. Straw polls of "like to hear more about ___" received
> 41, 48, 55, and 48 votes, the 41 for one additionally involving new fiber.
> The poll "to encourage more on…duplex SMF PMDs" received 35 votes. Another
> straw poll gave strong support for the most-aggressive low-cost target.
> Impressions from discussion and Atlanta meeting: Systems users (especially
> the largest ones) are strongly resistant to adopting parallel SMF. (not
> addressing reasons for that position, just stating an observation.) LR4
> platform can be extended over duplex SMF via WDM by at least one more
> "factor-4" generation, and probably another (DWDM for latter); PAM and
> line-rate increase may extend duplex-SMF's lifetime yet another
> generation.
> My Current Take: Given a 2-or-3-generation (factor-4; beyond 100GNGOPTX)
> longevity of duplex SMF, I'm finding it harder to make a compelling case
> for systems vendors to adopt parallel SMF for 100GNGOPTX. My current
> expectation is that duplex SMF will be the interconnection medium. My
> ongoing efforts will have more duplex-SMF content. I still think parallel
> SMF should deliver lowest cost/power for 100GNGOPTX, and provide an
> additional 1-2 generations of longevity; just don't see system vendors
> ready to adopt it now.
> BUT: What about the Starting Point (above), and the need for
> significantly-lower cost/power?? If a compelling case is to be made for an
> alternative to duplex SMF, it will require a very crisp and convincing
> argument for significantly-lower cost/power than LR4 ("fair" comparison
> such as mentioned earlier), or other duplex SMF approaches. Perhaps a
> modified version of LR4 can be developed with lower-cost/power lasers that
> doesn't reach 10km. If, for whatever reasons, systems vendors insist on
> duplex SMF, but truly need significantly-lower cost/power, it may require
> some compromise, e.g. "wavelength-shifted" SMF, or something else. Would
> Si Photonics really satisfy the needs with no compromise? Without saying
> they won't, it seems people aren't convinced, because we're having these
> discussions.
> Cheers, Jack
>
>
> On 11/17/11 10:23 AM, "Arlon Martin" <amartin@xxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>
>> Hello Jack,
>> To your first question, yes, we are very comfortable with LAN WDM
>> spacing. That never was a challenge for the technology. We have chosen to
>> perfect reflector gratings because of the combination of small size and
>> great performance. I am not sure exactly what you are asking in your
>> second question. There may be a slightly lower loss to AWGs than
>> reflector gratings. That difference has decreased as we have gained more
>> experience with gratings. For many applications like LR and mR, the much,
>> much smaller size (cost is related to size) of reflector gratings makes
>> them the best choice.
>>
>> Thanks, Arlon
>>
>> -----Original Message-----
>> From: Jack Jewell [mailto:jack@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx]
>> Sent: Thursday, November 17, 2011 6:42 AM
>> To: STDS-802-3-100GNGOPTX@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>> Subject: Re: [802.3_100GNGOPTX] Emerging new reach space
>>
>> Hi Arlon,
>> Thanks very much for this. You are right; I was referring to thin film
>> filters. My gut still tells me that greater tolerances should accompany
>> wider wavelength spacing. So I'm guessing that your manufacturing
>> tolerances are already "comfortable" at the LAN WDM spacing, and thus the
>> difference is negligible to you. Is that a fair statement? Same could be
>> true for thin film filters. At any rate, LAN WDM appears to have one
>> factor-4 generation advantage over CWDM in this discussion, and it's good
>> to hear of its cost effectiveness. Which brings up the next question. Your
>> data on slide 15 of Chris's presentation referenced in his message shows
>> lower insertion loss for your array waveguide (AWG) DWDM filter than for
>> the grating filters. Another factor-of-4 data throughput may be gained in
>> the future via DWDM.
>> Cheers, Jack
>>
>> On 11/16/11 10:51 PM, "Arlon Martin" <amartin@xxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>>
>>> Hello Jack,
>>> As a maker of both LAN WDM and CWDM filters, I would like to comment on
>>> the filter discussion. WDM filters can be thin film filters (to which you
>>> may be referring) but more likely, they are PIC-based AWGs or PIC-based
>>> reflector gratings. In our experience at Kotura with reflector gratings
>>> made in silicon, both CWDM and LAN WDM filters work equally well and are
>>> roughly the same size. It is practical to put 40 or more wavelengths on a
>>> single chip. We have done so for other applications. There is plenty of
>>> headroom for more channels when the need arises for 400 Gb/s or 1 Tbs.
>>> There may be other reasons to select CWDM over LAN WDM, but, in our
>>> experience, filters do not favor one choice over the other.
>>>
>>> Arlon Martin, Kotura
>>>
>>> -----Original Message-----
>>> From: Jack Jewell [mailto:jack@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx]
>>> Sent: Wednesday, November 16, 2011 9:09 PM
>>> To: STDS-802-3-100GNGOPTX@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>>> Subject: Re: [802.3_100GNGOPTX] Emerging new reach space
>>>
>>> Thanks Chris for your additions.
>>> 1. "CWDM leads to simpler optical filters versus "closer" WDM (LAN WDM)"
>>> -
>>> For a given throughput transmission and suppression of
>>> adjacent-wavelength
>>> signals (assuming use of same available optical filter materials), use of
>>> a wider wavelength spacing can be accomplished with wider thickness
>>> tolerance and usually with fewer layers. The wider thickness tolerance is
>>> basic physics, with which I won't argue. In this context, I consider
>>> "wider thickness tolerance" as "simpler."
>>> 2. "CWDM leads to lower cost versus "closer" WDM because cooling is
>>> eliminated" - I stated no such thing, though it's a common perception.
>>> Ali
>>> Ghiasi suggested CWDM (implied by basing implementation on 40GBASE-LR4)
>>> might be lower cost, without citing the cooling issue. Cost is a far more
>>> complex issue than filter simplicity. You made excellent points regarding
>>> costs in your presentation cited for point 1, and I cited LAN WDM
>>> (100GBASE-LR4) advantages as "better-suited-for-integration, and
>>> "clipping
>>> off" the highest-temp performance requirement." We must recognize that at
>>> 1km vs 10km, chirp issues are considerably reduced.
>>> 3. "CWDM is lower power than "closer" WDM power" - I stated no such
>>> thing,
>>> though it's a common perception. I did say "More wavelengths per fiber
>>> means more power per channel," which is an entirely different statement,
>>> and it's darned hard to argue against the physics of it (assuming same
>>> technological toolkit).
>>> All I stated in the previous message are the advantages of CWDM (adopted
>>> by 40GBASE-LR4) and LAN WDM (adopted by 100GBASE-LR4), without favoring
>>> one over the other for 100GbE (remember we're talking ~1km, not 10km).
>>> But
>>> my forward-looking (crude) analysis of 400GbE and 1.6TbE clearly favors
>>> LAN WDM over CWDM - e.g. "CWDM does not look attractive on duplex SMF
>>> beyond 100GbE," whereas the wavelength range for 400GbE LAN 16WDM over
>>> duplex SMF "is realistic." Quasi-technically speaking Chris, we're on the
>>> same wavelength (pun obviously intended) :-)
>>> Paul Kolesar stated the jist succinctly: "that parallel fiber
>>> technologies
>>> appear inevitable at some point in the evolution of single-mode
>>> solutions.
>>> So the question becomes a matter of when it is best to embrace them." [I
>>> would replace "inevitable" with "desirable."] From a module standpoint,
>>> it's easier, cheaper, lower-power to produce a x-parallel solution than a
>>> x-WDM one (x is number of channels), and it's no surprise that last
>>> week's
>>> technical presentations (by 3 module vendors and 1 independent) had a
>>> parallel-SMF commonality for 100GNGOPTX. There is a valid argument for
>>> initial parallel SMF implementation, to be later supplanted by WDM,
>>> particularly LAN WDM. With no fiber re-installations.
>>> To very recent messages, we can choose which pain to feel first, parallel
>>> fiber or PAM, but by 10TbE we're likely get both - in your face or
>>> innuendo :-)
>>> Jack
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On 11/16/11 6:53 PM, "Chris Cole" <chris.cole@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>>>
>>>> Hello Jack,
>>>>
>>>> You really are on a roll; lots of insightful perspectives.
>>>>
>>>> Let me clarify a few of items so that they don't detract from your
>>>> broader ideas.
>>>>
>>>> 1. CWDM leads to simpler optical filters versus "closer" WDM (LAN WDM)
>>>>
>>>> This claim may have had some validity in the past, however it has not
>>>> been the case for many years. This claim received a lot of attention in
>>>> 802.3ba TF during the 100GE-LR4 grid debate. An example presentation is
>>>> http://www.ieee802.org/3/ba/public/mar08/cole_02_0308.pdf, where on
>>>> pages
>>>> 13, 14, 15, and 16 multiple companies showed there is no practical
>>>> implementation difference between 20nm and 4.5nm spaced filters.
>>>> Further,
>>>> this has now been confirmed in practice with 4.5nm spaced LAN WDM
>>>> 100GE-LR4 filters in TFF and Si technologies manufactured with no
>>>> significant cost difference versus 20nm spaced CWDM 40GE-LR4 filters.
>>>>
>>>> If there is specific technical information to the contrary, it would be
>>>> helpful to see it as a  presentation in NG 100G SG.
>>>>
>>>> 2. CWDM leads to lower cost versus "closer" WDM because cooling is
>>>> eliminated
>>>>
>>>> This claim has some validity at lower rates like 1G or 2.5G, but is not
>>>> the case at 100G. This has been discussed at multiple 802.3 optical
>>>> track
>>>> meetings, including as recently as the last NG 100G SG meeting. We again
>>>> agreed that the cost of cooling is a fraction of a percent of the total
>>>> module cost. Even for a 40GE-LR4 module, the cost of cooling, if it had
>>>> to be added for some reason, would be insignificant. Page 4 of the above
>>>> cole_02_0308 presentation discusses why that is.
>>>>
>>>> This claim to some extent defocuses from half a dozen other cost
>>>> contributors which are far more significant. Those should be at the top
>>>> of the list instead of cooling. Further, if cooling happens to enable a
>>>> technology which reduces by a lot a significant cost contributor, then
>>>> it
>>>> becomes a big plus instead of an insignificant minus.
>>>>
>>>> If there is specific technical information to the contrary, a NG 100G SG
>>>> presentation would be a great way to introduce it.
>>>>
>>>> 3. CWDM is lower power than "closer" WDM power.
>>>>
>>>> The real difference between CWDM and LAN DWDM is that un-cooled is lower
>>>> power. However how much lower strongly depends on the specific transmit
>>>> optics and operating conditions. In 100G module context it can be 10% to
>>>> 30%. However, for some situations it could be a lot more savings, and
>>>> for
>>>> others even less. No general quantification of the total power savings
>>>> can be made; it has to be done on a case by case basis.
>>>>
>>>> Chris
>>>>
>>>> -----Original Message-----
>>>> From: Jack Jewell [mailto:jack@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx]
>>>> Sent: Wednesday, November 16, 2011 3:20 PM
>>>> To: STDS-802-3-100GNGOPTX@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>>>> Subject: Re: [802.3_100GNGOPTX] Emerging new reach space
>>>>
>>>> Great inputs! :-)
>>>> Yes, 40GBASE-LR4 is the first alternative to 100GBASE-LR4 that comes to
>>>> mind for duplex SMF. Which begs the question: why are they different?? I
>>>> can see advantages to either: (40G CWDM vs 100G closerWDM) - uncooled,
>>>> simple optical filters vs better-suited-for-integration, and "clipping"
>>>> off" the highest-temp performance requirement.
>>>> It's constructive to look forward, and try to avoid unpleasant surprises
>>>> of "future-proof" assumptions (think 802.3z and FDDI fiber - glad I
>>>> wasn't
>>>> there!). No one likes "forklift upgrades" except maybe forklift
>>>> operators,
>>>> who aren't well-represented here. Data centers are being built, so
>>>> here's
>>>> a chance to avoid short-sighted mistakes. How do we want 100GbE, 400GbE
>>>> and 1.6TbE to look (rough guesses at the next generations)? Here are 3
>>>> basic likely scenarios, assuming (hate to, but must) 25G electrical
>>>> interface and no electrical mux/demux. Considering duplex SMF,
>>>> 4+4parallel
>>>> SMF, and 16+16parallel SMF:
>>>> Generation
>>>> 100GbE       duplex-SMF /  4WDM      4+4parallel / no WDM
>>>> 16+16parallel / dark fibers
>>>> 400GbE       duplex-SMF / 16WDM      4+4parallel /  4WDM
>>>> 16+16parallel / no WDM
>>>> 1.6TbE       duplex-SMF / 64WDM      4+4parallel / 16WDM
>>>> 16+16parallel /  4WDM
>>>> The above is independent of distances in the 300+ meter range we're
>>>> considering. Yes, there are possibilities of PAM encoding and electrical
>>>> interface speed increases. Historically we've avoided the former, and
>>>> the
>>>> latter is expected to bring a factor of 2, at most, for these
>>>> generations.
>>>> Together, they might bring us forward 1 factor-of-4 generation further.
>>>> For 40GbE or 100GbE, 20nm-spaced CWDM is nice for 4WDM (4 wavelengths).
>>>> At
>>>> 400GbE, 16WDM CWDM is a 1270-1590nm stretch, with 16 laser products
>>>> (ouch!). 20nm spacing is out of the question for 64WDM (1.6TbE). CWDM
>>>> does
>>>> not look attractive on duplex SMF beyond 100GbE.
>>>> OTOH, a 100GBASE-LR4 - based evolution on duplex SMF, with ~4.5nm
>>>> spacing,
>>>> is present at 100GbE. For 400GbE, it could include the same 4
>>>> wavelengths,
>>>> plus 4-below and 12-above - a 1277.5-1349.5nm wavelength span, which is
>>>> realistic. The number of "laser products" is fuzzy, as the same
>>>> epitaxial
>>>> structure and process (except grating spacing) may be used for maybe a
>>>> few, but nowhere near all, of the wavelengths. For 1.6TbE 64WDM, LR4's
>>>> 4.5nm spacing implies a 288nm wavelength span and a plethora of "laser
>>>> products." Unattractive.
>>>> On a "4X / generational speed increase," 4+4parallel SMF gains one
>>>> generation over duplex SMF and 16+16parallel SMF gains 2 generations
>>>> over
>>>> duplex SMF. Other implementations, e.g. channel rate increase and/or
>>>> encoding, may provide another generation or two of "future
>>>> accommodation."
>>>> The larger the number of wavelengths that are multiplexed, the higher
>>>> the
>>>> loss budget that must be applied to the laser-to-detector (TPlaser to
>>>> TPdetector) link budget. More wavelengths per fiber means more power per
>>>> channel, i.e. more power/Gbps and larger faceplate area. While duplex
>>>> SMF
>>>> looks attractive to systems implementations, it entails significant(!!)
>>>> cost implications to laser/transceiver vendors, who may not be able to
>>>> bear "cost assumptions," and additional power requirements, which may
>>>> not
>>>> be tolerable for systems vendors.
>>>> I don't claim to "have the answer," rather attempt to frame the question
>>>> pointedly "How do we want to architect the next few generations of
>>>> Structured Data Center interconnects?" Insistence on duplex SMF works
>>>> for
>>>> this-and-maybe-next-generation, then may hit a wall. Installation of
>>>> parallel SMF provides a 1-or-2-generation-gap of "proofing," with higher
>>>> initial cost, but with lower power throughout, and pushing back the need
>>>> for those abominable "forklift upgrades."
>>>> Jack
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> On 11/16/11 1:00 PM, "Kolesar, Paul" <PKOLESAR@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> Brad,
>>>>> The fiber type mix in one of my contributions in September is all based
>>>>> on cabling that is pre-terminated with MPO(MTP)array connectors.
>>>>> Recall
>>>>> that single-mode fiber represents about 10 to 15% of those channels.
>>>>> Such cabling infrastructure provides the ability to support either
>>>>> multiple 2-fiber or parallel applications by applying or removing
>>>>> fan-outs from the ends of the cables at the patch panels.  The fan-outs
>>>>> transition the MPO terminated cables to collections of LC or SC
>>>>> connectors.  If fan-outs are not present, the cabling is ready to
>>>>> support
>>>>> parallel applications by using array equipment cords.  As far as I am
>>>>> aware this pre-terminated cabling approach is the primary way data
>>>>> centers are built today, and has been in practice for many years.  So
>>>>> array terminations are commonly used on single-mode cabling
>>>>> infrastructures.  While that last statement is true, it could leave a
>>>>> distorted impression if I also did not say that virtually the entire
>>>>> existing infrastructure e!
>>>>> mploys fan-outs today simply because parallel applications have not
>>>>> been
>>>>> deployed in significant numbers.  But migration to parallel optic
>>>>> interfaces is a matter of removing the existing fan-outs.  This is what
>>>>> I
>>>>> tried to describe at the microphone during November's meeting.
>>>>>
>>>>> Regards,
>>>>> Paul
>>>>>
>>>>> -----Original Message-----
>>>>> From: Brad Booth [mailto:Brad_Booth@xxxxxxxx]
>>>>> Sent: Wednesday, November 16, 2011 11:34 AM
>>>>> To: STDS-802-3-100GNGOPTX@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>>>>> Subject: Re: [802.3_100GNGOPTX] Emerging new reach space
>>>>>
>>>>> Anyone have any data on distribution of parallel vs duplex volume for
>>>>> OM3/4 and OS1?
>>>>>
>>>>> Is most SMF is duplex (or simplex) given the alignment requirements?
>>>>>
>>>>> It would be nice to have a MMF version of 100G that doesn't require
>>>>> parallel fibers, but we'd need to understand relative cost differences.
>>>>>
>>>>> Thanks,
>>>>> Brad
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> -----Original Message-----
>>>>> From: Ali Ghiasi [aghiasi@xxxxxxxxxxxx<mailto:aghiasi@xxxxxxxxxxxx>]
>>>>> Sent: Wednesday, November 16, 2011 11:04 AM Central Standard Time
>>>>> To: STDS-802-3-100GNGOPTX@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>>>>> Subject: Re: [802.3_100GNGOPTX] Emerging new reach space
>>>>>
>>>>> Jack
>>>>>
>>>>> If there is another LR4 PMD out there the best starting point would be
>>>>> 40Gbase-LR4, look at its cost structure, and build a 40G/100G
>>>>> compatible
>>>>> PMD.
>>>>>
>>>>> We also need to understand the cost difference between parallel MR4 vs
>>>>> 40Gbase-LR4 (CWDM).  The 40Gbase-LR4 cost with time could be assumed
>>>>> identical to the new 100G MR4 PMD.  Having this baseline cost then we
>>>>> can
>>>>> compare its cost with 100GBase-LR4 and parallel MR4.  The next step is
>>>>> to
>>>>> take
>>>>> into account higher cable and connector cost associated with parallel
>>>>> implementation then identify at what reach it gets to parity with 100G
>>>>> (CWDM) or
>>>>> 100G (LAN-WDM).
>>>>>
>>>>> In the mean time we need to get more direct feedback from end users if
>>>>> the parallel SMF is even an acceptable solution for reaches of 500-1000
>>>>> m.
>>>>>
>>>>> Thanks,
>>>>> Ali
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> On Nov 15, 2011, at 8:41 PM, Jack Jewell wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>> Thanks for this input Chris.
>>>>> I'm not "proposing" anything here, rather trying to frame the
>>>>> challenge,
>>>>> so that we become better aligned in how cost-aggressive we should be,
>>>>> which guides the technical approach. As for names, "whatever works" :-)
>>>>> It would be nice to have a (whatever)R4, be it nR4 or something else,
>>>>> and
>>>>> an english name to go with it. The Structured Data Center (SDC) links
>>>>> you
>>>>> describe in your Nov2011 presentation are what I am referencing, except
>>>>> for the restriction to "duplex SMF." My input is based on use of any
>>>>> interconnection medium that provides the overall lowest-cost,
>>>>> lowest-power solution, including e.g. parallel SMF.
>>>>> Cost comparisons are necessary, but I agree tend to be dicey. Present
>>>>> 10GbE costs are much better defined than projected 100GbE NextGen
>>>>> costs,
>>>>> but there's no getting around having to estimate NextGen costs, and
>>>>> specifying the comparison. Before the straw poll, I got explicit
>>>>> clarification that "LR4" did NOT include mux/demux IC's, and therefore
>>>>> did not refer to what is built today. My assumption was a "fair" cost
>>>>> comparison between LR4 and (let's call it)nR4 - at similar stage of
>>>>> development and market maturity. A relevant stage is during delivery of
>>>>> high volumes (prototype costs are of low relevance). This does NOT
>>>>> imply
>>>>> same volumes. It wouldn't be fair to project ER costs based on SR or
>>>>> copper volumes. I'm guessing these assumptions are mainstream in this
>>>>> group. That would make the 25% cost target very aggressive, and a 50%
>>>>> cost target probably sufficient to justify an optimized solution. Power
>>>>> requirements are a part of the total cost of ownership, and should be
>>>>> consider!
>>>>> ed, but perhaps weren't.
>>>>> The kernel of this discussion is whether to pursue "optimized
>>>>> solutions"
>>>>> vs "restricted solutions." LR4 was specified through great scrutiny and
>>>>> is expected to be a very successful solution for 10km reach over duplex
>>>>> SMF. Interoperability with LR4 is obviously desirable, but would a
>>>>> 1km-spec'd-down version of LR4 provide sufficient cost/power savings
>>>>> over
>>>>> LR4 to justify a new PMD and product development? Is there another
>>>>> duplex
>>>>> SMF solution that would provide sufficient cost/power savings over LR4
>>>>> to
>>>>> justify a new PMD and product development? If so, why wouldn't it be
>>>>> essentially a 1km-spec'd-down version of LR4? There is wide perception
>>>>> that SDC's will require costs/powers much lower than are expected from
>>>>> LR4, so much lower that it's solution is a major topic in HSSG. So far,
>>>>> it looks to me like an optimized solution is probably warranted. But
>>>>> I'm
>>>>> not yet convinced of that, and don't see consensus on the issue in the
>>>>> group, hence the discussion.
>>>>> Cheers, Jack
>>>>>
>>>>> From: Chris Cole
>>>>> <chris.cole@xxxxxxxxxxx<mailto:chris.cole@xxxxxxxxxxx>>
>>>>> Reply-To: Chris Cole
>>>>> <chris.cole@xxxxxxxxxxx<mailto:chris.cole@xxxxxxxxxxx>>
>>>>> Date: Tue, 15 Nov 2011 17:33:17 -0800
>>>>> To:
>>>>> <STDS-802-3-100GNGOPTX@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx<mailto:STDS-802-3-100GNGOPTX@L
>>>>> I
>>>>> S
>>>>> T
>>>>> SERV.IEEE.ORG>>
>>>>> Subject: Re: [802.3_100GNGOPTX] Emerging new reach space
>>>>>
>>>>> Hello Jack,
>>>>>
>>>>> Nice historical perspective on the new reach space.
>>>>>
>>>>> Do I interpret your email as proposing to call the new 150m to 1000m
>>>>> standard 100GE-MR4? ☺
>>>>>
>>>>> One of the problems in using today’s 100GE-LR4 cost as a comparison
>>>>> metric for new optics is that there is at least an order of magnitude
>>>>> variation in the perception of what that cost is. Given such a wide
>>>>> disparity in perception, 25% can either be impressive or inadequate.
>>>>>
>>>>> What I had proposed as reference baselines for making comparisons is
>>>>> 10GE-SR (VCSEL based TX), 10GE-LR (DFB laser based TX) and 10GE-ER (EML
>>>>> based TX) bit/sec cost. This not only allows us to make objective
>>>>> relative comparisons but also to decide if the technology is suitable
>>>>> for
>>>>> wide spread adoption by using rules of thumb like 10x the  bandwidth
>>>>> (i.e. 100G) at 4x the cost (i.e. 40% of 10GE-nR cost) at similar high
>>>>> volumes.
>>>>>
>>>>> Using these reference baselines, in order for the new reach space
>>>>> optics
>>>>> to be compelling, they must have a cost structure that is referenced to
>>>>> a
>>>>> fraction of 10GE-SR (VCSEL based) cost, NOT referenced to a fraction of
>>>>> 10GE-LR (DFB laser based) cost. Otherwise, the argument can be made
>>>>> that
>>>>> 100GE-LR4 will get to a fraction of 10GE-LR cost, at similar volumes,
>>>>> so
>>>>> why propose something new.
>>>>>
>>>>> Chris
>>>>>
>>>>> From: Jack Jewell [mailto:jack@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx]
>>>>> Sent: Tuesday, November 15, 2011 3:06 PM
>>>>> To:
>>>>> STDS-802-3-100GNGOPTX@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx<mailto:STDS-802-3-100GNGOPTX@LI
>>>>> S
>>>>> T
>>>>> S
>>>>> ERV.IEEE.ORG>
>>>>> Subject: [802.3_100GNGOPTX] Emerging new reach space
>>>>>
>>>>> Following last week's meetings, I think the following is relevant to
>>>>> frame our discussions of satisfying data center needs for low-cost
>>>>> low-power interconnections over reaches in the roughly 150-1000m range.
>>>>> This is a "30,000ft view,"without getting overly specific.
>>>>> Throughout GbE, 10GbE, 100GbE and into our discussions of 100GbE
>>>>> NextGenOptics, there have been 3 distinct spaces, with solutions
>>>>> optimized for each: Copper, MMF, and SMF. With increasing data rates,
>>>>> both copper and MMF specs focused on maintaining minimal cost, and
>>>>> their
>>>>> reach lengths decreased. E.g. MMF reach was up to 550m in GbE, then
>>>>> 300m
>>>>> in 10GbE (even shorter reach defined outside of IEEE), then 100-150m in
>>>>> 100GbE. MMF reach for 100GbE NextGenOptics will be even shorter unless
>>>>> electronics like EQ or FEC are included. Concurrently, MMF solutions
>>>>> have
>>>>> become attractive over copper at shorter and shorter distances. Both
>>>>> copper and MMF spaces have "literally" shrunk. In contrast, SMF
>>>>> solutions
>>>>> have maintained a 10km reach (not worrying about the initial 5km spec
>>>>> in
>>>>> GbE, or 40km solutions). To maintain the 10km reach, SMF solutions
>>>>> evolved from FP lasers, to DFB lasers, to WDM with cooled DFB lasers.
>>>>> The
>>>>> 10km solutions increasingly resemble longer-haul telecom solutions. T!
>>>>> here is an increasing cost disparity between MMF and SMF solutions.
>>>>> This
>>>>> is an observation, not a questioning of the reasons behind these
>>>>> trends.
>>>>> The increasing cost disparity between MMF and SMF solutions is
>>>>> accompanied by rapidly-growing data center needs for links longer than
>>>>> MMF can accommodate, at costs less than 10km SMF can accommodate. This
>>>>> has the appearance of the emergence of a new "reach space," which
>>>>> warrants its own optimized solution. The emergence of the new reach
>>>>> space
>>>>> is the crux of this discussion.
>>>>> Last week, a straw poll showed heavy support for "a PMD supporting a
>>>>> 500m
>>>>> reach at 25% the cost of 100GBASE-LR4" (heavily favored over targets of
>>>>> 75% or 50% the cost of 100GBASE-LR4). By heavily favoring the most
>>>>> aggressive low-cost target, this vote further supports the need for an
>>>>> "optimized solution" for this reach space. By "optimized solution" I
>>>>> mean
>>>>> one which is free from constraints, e.g. interoperability with other
>>>>> solutions. Though interoperability is desirable, an interoperable
>>>>> solution is unlikely to achieve the cost target. In the 3 reach spaces
>>>>> discussed so far, there is NO interoperability between copper/MMF,
>>>>> MMF/SMF, or copper/SMF. Copper, MMF and SMF are optimized solutions. It
>>>>> will likely take an optimized solution to satisfy this "mid-reach"
>>>>> space
>>>>> at the desired costs. To repeat: This has the appearance of the
>>>>> emergence
>>>>> of a new "reach space," which warrants its own optimized solution.
>>>>> Since
>>>>> the reach target lies between "short reach" and "long reach," "mid!
>>>>> reach" is a reasonable term
>>>>> Without discussing specific technical solutions, it is noteworthy that
>>>>> all 4 technical presentations last week for this "mid-reach" space
>>>>> involved parallel SMF, which would not interoperate with either
>>>>> 100GBASE-LR4, MMF, or copper. They would be optimized solutions, and
>>>>> interest in their further work received the highest support in straw
>>>>> polls. Given the high-density environment of datacenters, a solution
>>>>> for
>>>>> the mid-reach space would have most impact if its operating power was
>>>>> sufficiently low to be implemented in a form factor compatible with MMF
>>>>> and copper sockets.
>>>>> Cheers, Jack