Gigabit Ethernet Survey Market Perception of High Bandwidth Needs 1996-2000 IEEE 802.3, Gigabit Ethernet March 12,1996 at Sandiago Ahmad Nouri, Compaq Survey Methodology Contact list extracted from Computer Intelligence and Currid & Company database Data scrubbed to eliminate inappropriate contacts and duplicates Selected participants from a broad range of demographics in North America (US bias) Conducted telephone interviews Participant Demographics 2250 companies identified Survey sample size is 100 Revenue: - Min: $10 million - Ave: $1.4 billion - Max: $27 billion Employees - Min: 80 -Ave: 7953 -Max: 130,000 Network Nodes -Min: 85 -Ave: 3463 -Max: 100,000 Cross section of headquarters and satellite offices Participants by Industry - Manufacturing: 38% - Medical: 14% - Retail/Service 19% - Press/Publishing 5% - Education/Research 17% - Government/Military 7% Reported Cable Infrastructure (Independent of Location) - Cat 5 62% - Cat 4 3% - Cat 3 25% - Coax cable 5% - Multi-Mode Fiber 4% - Single Mode Fiber 1% Overall Technology Deployment (Independent of Location) - Ethernet 34% - Fast Ethernet 18% - FDDI 24% - Token Ring 21% - Switched Ethernet .7% - ATM 1% - 100Base-VG 1% ARCnet .3% High Bandwidth Applications - Imaging/Simulation 27% - Database/Storage 25% - CAD/CAM 17% - Video Conferencing 15% - Backbone Application 8% - Video Editing 6% - Mapping/Graphics 2% Current Backbone Technologies - FDDI 37% - Ethernet 29% - Switched Ethernet 8% - Fast Ethernet 8% - Token Ring 8% - Router/Bridge 5% - ATM 5% Bandwidth Needs to the Desktop What percent of your users need 100Mbps at the desktop? - In 1996 11% - In 1998 23% - In 2000 43% Do you plan to upgrade from Ethernet to Fast Ethernet? - Yes 68% - No 32% Bandwidth in the Backbone How much bandwidth is needed in the backbone? - In 1996 10Mbps 30% 10-100Mbps 64% 100-1000Mbps 5% - In 1998 10Mbps 7% 10-100Mbps 62% 100-1000Mbps 30% -In 2000 10Mbps 1% 10-100Mbps 60% 100-1000Mbps 40% Technology Selection Criteria - Implementation Cost 26% - Raw Bandwidth 20% - Protocol Support 19% - NOS Support 18% - Preserve Management Expertise 13% - Other 4% Gigabit Ethernet Have you heard of the proposed standard? - Yes 44% - No 56% Are you interested in the technology? - Yes 86% - No 14% Where do you go for information on High Speed Networking? - Trade Press 43% - Vendors 31% - Internal 14% - Consultants 12% Conclusions - 90% of installed base is UTP (Cat 3, 4, & 5) - Need for 100 Mbps to the desktop increases from 11% to 43% between 1996 and 2000 - Of these with Ethernet, 68% are moving to or considering Fast Ethernet - Backbone deployment is largely split between FDDI and Ethernet technologies - FDDI 37% - Fast Ethernet/Switching/Ethernet 45% - The need for 100Mbps or faster links in the backbone grows from 5% in 1996 to 40% by 2000 - Nearly 90% of those surveyed expect to support high bandwidth applications in the future - Cost, Speed, and Protocol Support were the top three considerations in technology selection - Of those surveyed, 86% are interested in GB Ethernet after hearing about it