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Re: [HSSG] The List




Dan,
I cannot speak for others who may be preparing materials, but I have requested a time slot to present an updated cost analysis of 40G and 100G solutions for multimode fiber to address economic feasibility concerns.  

Regards,
Paul Kolesar
CommScope Inc.
EnterpriseŽ Solutions
1300 East Lookout Drive
Richardson, TX 75082
Phone:  972.792.3155
Fax:      972.792.3111
eMail:   pkolesar@commscope.com



"Dove, Dan" <dan.dove@hp.com>

07/10/2007 01:43 PM

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RE: [HSSG] The List





Paul,
 
The tangential discussion that has ensued has been interesting, but I hope it has not distracted from the original objective of "the list" which was to provide direction for the HSSG on how to complete the necessary steps to prove a 40G standard is justified.

We can debate how to achieve a particular cost objectives, whether it be for 40G, a higher density 10G MSA, or 100G in the future, but hopefully the HSSG focuses on the critical requirements of proving distinct identity and economic feasibility (including 10G cost trajectories) for 40G at the upcoming July plenary.

 
Regards,

Dan

 
==== Back to the top of the string =======
My fellow colleagues ,

Last week I sent out a list of items that I felt need to be addressed to ensure that a 40G PAR would be justified. At a subsequent EA teleconference intended to build concensus in the HSSG, I offered to review the presentations made in support of 40G Economic Feasibility and comparing 40G vs 4x10 LAG performance to ensure that I was not being too harsh in my consideration of the material that was presented.


Over the weekend, I reviewed every presentation I could find on these subjects so that I could be comfortable that I was not being unfair in my concerns. Fortunately, it was not a huge task as there are not that many to review.


After doing so, I found myself less convinced in the validity of some presentations that were made. This statement is not made to criticize my colleagues, but to honor the concept of peer review which requires that we review and criticize, otherwise we might as well just upload them to a server and forget about them.


Specifically, I disagreed with cost arguments made on the assumption that 10G cost remains a constant, when in fact I anticipate substantial reductions in 10G cost over the next few years at a rate much faster than today due to a few factors;


1) Higher density/lower cost optical form factors (SFP+) allowing better utilization of switch infrastructural cost and QSFP for NICs.

2) Smaller geometry CMOS allowing higher port densities to work in synergy with PMD cost reductions.

3) Integration of XFI / SFI interfaces directly into ASICs or multi-port PHYs driving 10G cost further downward.

4) Higher volumes / commoditization of 10G driving cost down much faster than the current trajectory.


While 40G can leverage some of these elements, it cannot leverage the volume that feeds the downward cost spiral. So in 4 years, a 40G switch port cost is going to be based on low-volume, freshly designed and un-amortized silicon used primarily for server interconnect, whereas a 10G port cost will be based on amortized, high-volume silicon being used in a huge array of applications. Having different trajectories, the relative cost for 40G will be higher than presented. This is true for 100G as well, but who is arguing a need for 100G based on cost? It is bandwidth that drives 100G demand.


In addition, I found presentations claiming that LAG was insufficient to address server I/O bandwidth needs, yet those presentations failed to address upcoming technology enhancements like TRILL and its impact combined with I/O Virtualization, perhaps with a physical manifestation of QSFP and MPO optics which I believe can lead to graceful performance scaling for servers that does not demand an intermediate IEEE standard. In other words, activities and technologies are advancing which will parse server network access into multiple conversations that can then be put onto a LAG group with much higher than presented performance levels.


Now, I realize that I am swimming upstream here by asking that the proponents for "40G now"  to complete a task that took the 100G proponents almost a year to accomplish, in less than 6 months, but then I am not asking them to do that. My first choice, the one I proposed in Geneva, was that we move 100G forward (because it is DONE) and that we continue to work on 40G (until it is done).

This appears to be a minority position because apparently some people will accept an unproven 40G proposal rather than risk 100G. Others think that 40G is proven sufficiently and are demanding "40G now" or they will not allow a 100G PAR to go forward. Those in the latter camp must either be unconvinced of my concerns, or they think my concerns are insufficient to justify any further work being done to justify a 40G project.

I can accept differences of opinion.


What I cannot do, however, is pretend that these issues do not exist, or that the work we would have to spend getting a 40G standard done is not going to delay the much needed 100G aggregation solution our customers demand. I cannot ignore what I perceive as holes in the 40G presentations.


So, to provide a little more direction to my colleagues in the "40G now or the HSSG stalls" crowd, I am asking you to include relative cost trajectories in your analysis of 40G vs 10G cost models, and to include technology enhancements to LAG (TRILL, I/O Virtualization, QSFP, MPO) in your performance analysis.


If you feel that this is unnecessary, I am requesting that you communicate this position to me as soon as possible so that I can prepare a presentation on these areas of concern for the July meeting.


Respectfully,


Dan Dove

Dove Networking Solutions - Serving ProCurve Networking by HP

 



From: Paul Kolesar [mailto:PKOLESAR@SYSTIMAX.COM]
Sent:
Tuesday, July 10, 2007 11:09 AM
To:
STDS-802-3-HSSG@listserv.ieee.org
Subject:
Re: [HSSG] The List



Jack,

thanks for taking the time to provide deeper explanations of some details.


I understand the comparison you made between a pair of SNAP12s and a pair of QSFPs.  I do not dispute that the pair of QSFPs involve more optical alignment steps.  But this labor content is offset by the QSFP having smaller optical ICs with commensurately higher yield, and fewer elements to align per IC that should reduce the amount of labor per IC.  Additionally, and perhaps more to the point of the HSSG applications, with a 4-lane application, like 40G, only a single QSFP is used, not a pair.  So while the SNAP12 may be more efficient per lane, that efficiency does not necessarily offset the cost of the unused capacity it offers for applications that need only four lanes.  While it would be possible to occupy all twelve lanes to deliver 40G, such as is the case with the currently available SNAP12 modules, the electrical muxing device that would be required between these twelve optical lanes and the fewer electrical I/O lanes that most future designs would target, would provide a less favorable cost scenario.  This last point also speaks to the item that Frank Chang raised some days ago (on June 28) about using SNAP12 for 40G.  


To me a key goal is optimally matching the technology choices to the application.  One optimization is lane rate matching.  At this point in the technology evolution of electronics and optics, if the electrical lane rate has advanced to 10G, then the optimal optical lane rate should not be lower since optical solutions commonly operate at 10G today.  


Regards,
Paul Kolesar
CommScope Inc.
EnterpriseŽ Solutions
1300 East Lookout Drive
Richardson, TX 75082
Phone:  972.792.3155
Fax:      972.792.3111
eMail:   pkolesar@commscope.com



"Jack Jewell" <Jack.Jewell@picolight.com>

07/03/2007 11:02 AM


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RE: [HSSG] The List







Paul,

 

I admire your willingness to take on this difficult task and your efforts to get the root of the matter.  You're right about cost being an uncomfortable subject, especially in the margin-challenged module business.  But I expect anyone involved with shipping both SFP's and parallel modules in volume will agree that the SFP platform is the most cost-effective one to transceive a given number of Gb/s.  Just take the cost of a 4G SFP and ask if a 4Gb/s/ch QSFP (or POP4) can be made for less than 4X that cost.  The same will be true at 10Gb/s/ch, due to very high volumes in 8GFC.  Only with comparable volumes and quite a few years of technology maturation will parallel modules be able to approach or even surpass the cost-effectiveness of the SFP platform.

 

The seemingly inverted TOSA cost (a 1x4 vs 4 singlets) does NOT apply to the Tx/Rx ICs.  A quad or a 12-element driver or receiver IC utilizes essentially the same process/package/test technology as a singlet, with less handling and labor and chip area.  Thus a NX array IC is less than N times that of a singlet IC - unless there is a large disparity in volume/demand/availability.  Singlet and array  TOSA/ROSA packages are quite different.  You can find dozens of contract manufacturers throughout the far east that perform high-quality TO-can packaging for extremely low cost.  The techniques are known, equipment is prelevant, barrier to entry is low.  Not yet so for array packaging.  Equipment is custom.  CM's with know-how are few and far between; ones with experience are even fewer.  For QSFP, there is the additional task of mounting the VCSEL and PIN chips with 1's of um registration accuracy (to align with the same fiber ribbon).  Alignment has more degrees of freedom than for a serial TOSA, which must be dealt with.  All this in volumes that are on the order of 1% (probably far less, actually) than that of TO-cans.

 

The above is not meant to paint a dismal picture for parallel.  On the contrary, parallel is the appropriate approach to deliver the interconnection density and integration required for 100GigEthernet and many other bandwidth-intensive applications.  4 SFP's occupy roughly 3X more width than a QSFP; comparing widths between 12 SFP's to a pair of SNAP12's gets downright ludicrous.  But there is the cost barrier to array packaging discussed above.  That barrier occurs as soon as you get away from a singlet, e.g. a 1x2.  As you go to higher integration levels, the cost barrier is spread out over more channels and per/channel cost decreases.  Compare a "4+4" parallel approach (e.g. QSFP or POP4) vs a "12x" approach (e.g. SNAP12 or any other that aligns a 1x12 array).  Two QSFP modules require the mounting of 4 optical ICs (2 VCSEL arrays and 2 PIN arrays) and 4 electrical ICs (2 drivers and 2 receivers).  In each case, the VCSEL and PIN arrays must be mounted to 1's of um accuracy in registration.  The two QSFPs can deliver 80Gb/s.  In contrast, a Tx/Rx pair of SNAP12's require the mounting of only 2 optical ICs and 2 electrical ICs.  Registration between optical ICs is not an issue since only one optical IC aligns to a fiber ribbon.  The SNAP12 pair should cost less than the QSFP pair since it involves fewer parts and is simpler, i.e. it's MORE INTEGRATED.  Yet the SNAP12 pair delivers 100Gb/s (or even 120Gb/s), compared to 80Gb/s.  Reduced costs for parallel optical technology will occur and will arrive sooner if the industry settles on an appropriate level of integration - not too high and not too low.  Given the (relative) prevalence of 12-fiber ribbons and MTP connectors and modules in the field and the match to 100Gig Ethernet, I think 12 Tx and 12 Rx is the appropriate level of integration.

 

Cheers,

Jack



From: Paul Kolesar [mailto:PKOLESAR@SYSTIMAX.COM]
Sent:
Monday, July 02, 2007 5:10 PM
To:
STDS-802-3-HSSG@listserv.ieee.org
Subject:
Re: [HSSG] The List



Jack,

I appreciate your detailed responses.  


Regarding your statements that I am filling a role that does not match my affiliation, I have to agree.  But I am filling a role that needs to be filled.  I am trying to stimulate the discussion in an area that has become one of the remaining factors that will set direction for the next several years work.  There are certain dynamics that stifle this type of discussion from occurring to the level necessary between the expected parties so that folks like myself can have sufficient understanding.  For example, cost is not usually a comfortable subject to explore in detail within a competitive arena.  So I offer my analysis/contributions and questions/comments as a vehicle to draw out controversy and agreement, and I welcome more transceiver experts to join in.


Regarding your comments on item 5), it is clear that more work needs to be done on the content of kolesar_01_0507.  I will look to submit a revised version with more explanation for the July meeting.  Part of the problem is that there is no explanation for the approach I took, which I think has lead to misunderstandings.  The first order explanation is that the XFP column is the basis for the transceiver component comparisons and each row is independent.  That means that each element of the XFP components is rated 4x (times 4 because there are four XFPs used for 4x10G LAG), regardless of their relative cost to each other.  The only row were these are summed together is in the "weighted average".  


I am surprised regarding your assertions that four discrete OSAs cost less than one 4-element array OSA, albeit with volume effects factored in.  I sure hope this relationship does not come to haunt the IC industry, or we'll have quad devices costing more than four times their single counterparts, and integration will fail to be a means to lower cost.  


Regards,
Paul Kolesar
CommScope Inc.
EnterpriseŽ Solutions
1300 East Lookout Drive
Richardson, TX 75082
Phone:  972.792.3155
Fax:      972.792.3111
eMail:   pkolesar@commscope.com


"Jack Jewell" <Jack.Jewell@picolight.com>

06/29/2007 05:58 PM


To
<PKOLESAR@SYSTIMAX.COM>, <STDS-802-3-HSSG@listserv.ieee.org>
cc
Subject
RE: [HSSG] The List









Thanks Paul for undertaking the task of this cost analysis.  I must say though, it's most curious that the task of 40G module cost analysis has been left to a fiber supplier.  You're truly dedicated.  I've been traveling without email access, hence the delayed response.


My responses are in
red.  For you CrackBerry Warriors without colored text, the responses start on the next line following Paul's questions, preceded by JJ - .

Jack



From: Paul Kolesar [mailto:PKOLESAR@SYSTIMAX.COM]
Sent:
Wednesday, June 27, 2007 4:57 PM
To:
STDS-802-3-HSSG@listserv.ieee.org
Subject:
Re: [HSSG] The List



Jack,

thank you for chiming in.  We need more of this type of input.  Your response is provocative on several points, so consequently I have some questions and comments about your statements:  


1) First, SFP+ achieves the 300m SR objective with similar ease as XFP.


What is absorbing or mitigating the jitter that is handled by the CDR in the XFP?  Is it an external CDR, and EDC function, reduced temperature range, or improved signal quality from the upper level divides to which the SFP+ interfaces?  Or was the presence of the CDR in the XFP unwarranted in the first place?  Or are you saying that SFP+ supports a 300m link despite being noncompliant to 10GBASE-S specs?
 
JJ - The SFP+ architecture utilizes Tx pre-emphasis and Rx equalization in the PHY IC, and limits the FR4 traces to ~8" rather than 12".  XFP does not need these features due to the CDR.  Modern PHY chip include these features with only incremental cost, but they were not available when XFP was defined.  The comments directly relate to the SFP+ limiting version (no EDC), which is analogous to the XFP.  With EDC, the comments still apply, and additional benefits are available.


2) While a reduced-reach 10G PMD might reduce costs, it's a retreating approach that requires the customer to purchase higher-cost transceivers to fill in the reach gap, e.g. for reaches between 100m and 300m.


I completely agree that this is a retreating approach that is not a preferred solution if it can be avoided, especially if all that is required is a simple (low cost and power) EDC function built into the receiver's TIA.  
 
JJ - Check.
 EDC functionality however is not in the receiver's TIA, but on the PHY chip (better yet!).  The TIA simply needs a linear response.

3) A reduced operating temperature range offers immediate cost savings for some customers without compromising reach and without any new standards specifications.


I do not think that the 802.3 standard specifies operating temperature range.  If so, this improvement is available without violation of the 10GBASE-S spec.  But then there is the market requirement on temp range to consider, which can be just as imposing as the standards specs.  This leads back to the questions of item 1.
 
JJ - That's why it involves no new standards specifications and also why only "some" customers are able to enjoy this benefit.


4) For QSFP,.  Here again, EDC offers great advantage, and ignoring it would be a mistake.  But crosstalk introduces module-level limitations that might motivate reach reduction or other modification to the PMD.


The crosstalk in a transceiver is another source of jitter.  I accept that the crosstalk in a single lane transceiver is likely to be easier to mitigate than that in a multi-lane transceiver that shares a common housing/circuit board between the transmit and receive functions. The degree of added impairment is the issue, and whether the jitter impairment causes a reduction in reach or other parameter trade-offs will need to be sorted out during the setting of specifications.  But if EDC and reduced temp range are means to lower cost for SFP+, then they will be as well for QSFP.  I think this may need to be sorted out in the lab as companies design these components into their test fixtures and systems.  That is why I encourage those with experience in this area to afford us the benefit of that experience.  Existence proof is a powerful argument.
 
JJ - Of course EDC and reduced temp range benefit SFP+ and QSFP (and anything else) about equally, hence my comment on EDC.
For a parallel module at 10G/ch, crosstalk and power variation add to the difficulty and motivate some relief elsewhere.  That is why although I'm fine with a 300m reach for 10G serial, I support a shorter reach objective for 10G parallel without EDC.  Adding EDC provides a tradeoff between further spec relaxation and increased reach.

5) Comparing costs, the SFP+ will be lower than QSFP for the foreseeable future (per lane for the same spec).


Does this claim rely on volumes favoring SFP+?  From what I can tell, the intrinsic costs favor QSFP relative to 4xSFP+.  If you disagree with this, please provide the particulars of where we differ by addressing the constituent comparisons in kolesar_01_0507.
 
JJ - This claim is based on the reality of present SFP+ costs and
lack of any visible path for QSFP to reach parity.  Making a cost comparison for equal volumes is irrelevant when the reality is that one module will continue to have far higher volumes than the other - again for the forseeable future.  Before there is any 40G Ethernet market, the tsunami of 8G Fibre-Channel, utilizing 10G technology, will drive down the costs for the serial ICs.  The balance of TOSA/ROSA costs between 4xSFP+ and QSFP is reversed on your chart.  I think you underestimate the impact of product maturity on TOSA/ROSA packaging costs as well.  Also in the 4xSFP+, the PCB and Pkg costs are too high.

Thanks for helping to increase understanding of these issues.


Regards,
Paul Kolesar
CommScope Inc.
EnterpriseŽ Solutions
1300 East Lookout Drive
Richardson, TX 75082
Phone:  972.792.3155
Fax:      972.792.3111
eMail:   pkolesar@commscope.com

Jack Jewell <Jack.Jewell@PICOLIGHT.COM>

06/27/2007 11:41 AM
Please respond to
Jack Jewell <Jack.Jewell@PICOLIGHT.COM>


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Re: [HSSG] The List











Input from a transceiver vendor with experience and interest in both serial and parallel modules:


First, SFP+ achieves the 300m SR objective with similar ease as XFP.  While a reduced-reach 10G PMD might reduce costs, it's a retreating approach that requires the customer to purchase higher-cost transceivers to fill in the reach gap, e.g. for reaches between 100m and 300m..  A reduced operating temperature range offers immediate cost savings for some customers without compromising reach and without any new standards specifications.  Use of a linear receiver and EDC and relaxed Tx specs can also achieve the 300m reach at reduced cost.  For this application, the amount of compensation required is far less than what is required for LRM.  EDC is becoming widely available, to the point of being a standard feature of PHY ICs, so the cost of this EDC is becoming insignificant.  Forward-looking standards efforts will achieve their full impact by making use of EDC.


For QSFP,.  Here again, EDC offers great advantage, and ignoring it would be a mistake.  But crosstalk introduces module-level limitations that might motivate reach reduction or other modification to the PMD.


Comparing costs, the SFP+ will be lower than QSFP for the forseeable future (per lane for the same spec).  The only advantage of QSFP over SFP+ is density and possibly simpler cabling.  However, a 12-channel parallel module pair, e.g. SNAP12, offers greater density than QSFP and 2.5-3X the bandwidth at <2X the cost.  


Jack




From: Dove, Dan [mailto:dan.dove@HP.COM]
Sent:
Wednesday, June 27, 2007 9:32 AM
To:
STDS-802-3-HSSG@listserv.ieee.org
Subject:
Re: [HSSG] The List


Paul,


Regarding SFP+, I am very familiar with the technology and have been tracking the SFF-8431 development. The architecture re-distribution of cost that SFP+ offers will have a substantial impact on cost, especially when combined with the higher density we can achieve with smaller geometry ASICs and multiport PHYs that will come with it.


As for QSFP, I am less familiar with whether or not it will provide a cost improvement over SFP+ or be capable of meeting the existing SR spec. This is something for the QSFP experts to consider, but like I said, a shorter 10G PMD might be the avenue to take rather than an identity challenged 40G spec.


Regarding LAG, my conversation with HP Server architects indicates there are a number of avenues for improvement of LAG under development.


I cited these areas in my earlier message and would appreciate them being addressed rather than ignored.


Dan


From: Paul Kolesar [mailto:PKOLESAR@SYSTIMAX.COM]
Sent:
Wednesday, June 27, 2007 8:04 AM
To:
STDS-802-3-HSSG@listserv.ieee.org
Subject:
Re: [HSSG] The List



Dan,

I can't tell how successfully SFP+ and QSFP will be at meeting the existing 10GBASE-S spec.  If they can, a new shorter distance 10G PMD would not be of value.  If they can't, then a new PMD spec may be worth while.  Those attempting to implement these lower cost platforms need to weigh in to provide guidance.  In the event that either the QSFP and/or SFP+ can meet 10GBASE-S specs in multiple vendor's platforms, or that a new shorter distance spec is developed that allows lower cost, the performance issues of LAG will remain.  I believe Howard's presentations on LAG have indicated that improving LAG would not be without compromise, leading me to conclude that, however improved, LAG performance could not become equivalent to a 40G pipe.  Developing a 40G spec would ensure a solution that simultaneously addresses these cost and performance issues.


Regards,
Paul Kolesar
CommScope Inc.
EnterpriseŽ Solutions
1300 East Lookout Drive
Richardson, TX 75082
Phone:  972.792.3155
Fax:      972.792.3111
eMail:   pkolesar@commscope.com
"Dove, Dan" <dan.dove@HP.COM>

06/26/2007 09:24 PM
Please respond to
"Dove, Dan" <dan.dove@HP.COM>


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Hi Paul,


Good points. I was not really expecting to see a significant cost differential at the PMD although its a good argument that a 100m PMD would be less expensive. If this is the case, why not do another 10G PMD focused on lowering the cost of server interconnect? I believe that would be a smaller project and have a much less significant impact on 100G development.


Thanks,


Dan



From: Paul Kolesar [mailto:PKOLESAR@SYSTIMAX.COM]
Sent:
Tuesday, June 26, 2007 6:16 PM
To:
STDS-802-3-HSSG@listserv.ieee.org
Subject:
Re: [HSSG] The List



Dan,

thanks for your detailed thoughts and proposals.  I appreciate the points you made regarding the volume effect of 10G components on the cost comparison.  The presentation I submitted for the May interim looked at the intrinsic cost factors and did not attempt to include volume in the equation.  But volume certainly can be a significant factor.  Your suggestion to look into its impact when comparing 4x10G LAG to 40G is reasonable, but complicated at the PMD level.  As my May presentation shows there are a few ways to implement LAG on MMF.  One uses the XFP, another the SFP+, still another the QSFP.  Today the XFP is shipping to the 10GBASE-S spec, and supports 300m transmission.  Designs using SFP+ and QSFP will be more challenged to meet this spec due to jitter, so it remains to be seen how successfully these lower cost form factors can substitute for the XFP in 10GBASE-S compliant LAG.  However, a reduced distance requirement, such as that stated in the HSSG objectives, would greatly improve the chances that QSFP will suffice for "40GBASE-S".  So while volume is important, these unanswered questions on suitability make it impossible from my vantage point to determine how the volumes for 10GBASE-S will be divided among XFP, SFP+, and QSFP.  And the effects of volume on production costs are better left to those who manufacture the devices.  Perhaps individuals with such insights will offer some scenarios.  



Regards,
Paul Kolesar
CommScope Inc.
EnterpriseŽ Solutions
1300 East Lookout Drive
Richardson, TX 75082
Phone:  972.792.3155
Fax:      972.792.3111
eMail:   pkolesar@commscope.com
"Dove, Dan" <dan.dove@HP.COM>

06/26/2007 02:45 PM
Please respond to
"Dove, Dan" <dan.dove@HP.COM>


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cc
Subject
Re: [HSSG] The List















My fellow colleagues ,

Last week I sent out a list of items that I felt need to be addressed to ensure that a 40G PAR would be justified. At a subsequent EA teleconference intended to build concensus in the HSSG, I offered to review the presentations made in support of 40G Economic Feasibility and comparing 40G vs 4x10 LAG performance to ensure that I was not being too harsh in my consideration of the material that was presented.


Over the weekend, I reviewed every presentation I could find on these subjects so that I could be comfortable that I was not being unfair in my concerns. Fortunately, it was not a huge task as there are not that many to review.


After doing so, I found myself less convinced in the validity of some presentations that were made. This statement is not made to criticize my colleagues, but to honor the concept of peer review which requires that we review and criticize, otherwise we might as well just upload them to a server and forget about them.


Specifically, I disagreed with cost arguments made on the assumption that 10G cost remains a constant, when in fact I anticipate substantial reductions in 10G cost over the next few years at a rate much faster than today due to a few factors;


1) Higher density/lower cost optical form factors (SFP+) allowing better utilization of switch infrastructural cost and QSFP for NICs.

2) Smaller geometry CMOS allowing higher port densities to work in synergy with PMD cost reductions.

3) Integration of XFI / SFI interfaces directly into ASICs or multi-port PHYs driving 10G cost further downward.

4) Higher volumes / commoditization of 10G driving cost down much faster than the current trajectory.


While 40G can leverage some of these elements, it cannot leverage the volume that feeds the downward cost spiral. So in 4 years, a 40G switch port cost is going to be based on low-volume, freshly designed and un-amortized silicon used primarily for server interconnect, whereas a 10G port cost will be based on amortized, high-volume silicon being used in a huge array of applications. Having different trajectories, the relative cost for 40G will be higher than presented. This is true for 100G as well, but who is arguing a need for 100G based on cost? It is bandwidth that drives 100G demand.


In addition, I found presentations claiming that LAG was insufficient to address server I/O bandwidth needs, yet those presentations failed to address upcoming technology enhancements like TRILL and its impact combined with I/O Virtualization, perhaps with a physical manifestation of QSFP and MPO optics which I believe can lead to graceful performance scaling for servers that does not demand an intermediate IEEE standard. In other words, activities and technologies are advancing which will parse server network access into multiple conversations that can then be put onto a LAG group with much higher than presented performance levels.


Now, I realize that I am swimming upstream here by asking that the proponents for "40G now"  to complete a task that took the 100G proponents almost a year to accomplish, in less than 6 months, but then I am not asking them to do that. My first choice, the one I proposed in Geneva, was that we move 100G forward (because it is DONE) and that we continue to work on 40G (until it is done).

This appears to be a minority position because apparently some people will accept an unproven 40G proposal rather than risk 100G. Others think that 40G is proven sufficiently and are demanding "40G now" or they will not allow a 100G PAR to go forward. Those in the latter camp must either be unconvinced of my concerns, or they think my concerns are insufficient to justify any further work being done to justify a 40G project.

I can accept differences of opinion.


What I cannot do, however, is pretend that these issues do not exist, or that the work we would have to spend getting a 40G standard done is not going to delay the much needed 100G aggregation solution our customers demand. I cannot ignore what I perceive as holes in the 40G presentations.


So, to provide a little more direction to my colleagues in the "40G now or the HSSG stalls" crowd, I am asking you to include relative cost trajectories in your analysis of 40G vs 10G cost models, and to include technology enhancements to LAG (TRILL, I/O Virtualization, QSFP, MPO) in your performance analysis.


If you feel that this is unnecessary, I am requesting that you communicate this position to me as soon as possible so that I can prepare a presentation on these areas of concern for the July meeting.


Respectfully,


Dan Dove

Dove Networking Solutions - Serving ProCurve Networking by HP